home
***
CD-ROM
|
disk
|
FTP
|
other
***
search
/
TIME: Almanac 1995
/
TIME Almanac 1995.iso
/
time
/
election
/
52elect
/
52elect.017
< prev
next >
Wrap
Text File
|
1995-02-21
|
8KB
|
176 lines
<text id=93HT1024>
<title>
52 Election: A Study in Ballots
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1952 Election
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
November 17, 1952
THE NATION
A Study in Ballots
</hdr>
<body>
<p> "Every presidential election really is a self-portrait of
America...Into that portrait go all their inherited
traditions; the clashings of different economic, social and
sectional interests; the tensions of race, religion and color, as
well as the strivings toward tolerance and Americanization; the
transitions of aging and rising generations, the tenacious grip
of memories of the past; the ferments of hopes for the future."
</p>
<p>-- Samuel Lubell in The Future of American Politics.
</p>
<p> The dominant fact of last week's American self-portrait is
that Ike Eisenhower's attraction crosses almost the whole varied
range of U.S. sections, ethnic and religious groups and economic
interests.
</p>
<p> Eisenhower did especially well among three groups: 1) women,
2) suburbanites, and 3) nw voters.
</p>
<p> Statistical proof of the women's vote is impossible because
voting records are not filed by sex and there are no "women's
precincts." But in traditionally pro-labor districts of Indiana,
for example, election officials opened voting machines at noon
"for repairs," found Ike leading after a heavy morning's vote by
women. In Pawtucket, R.I., a Democratic poll-watcher cast his eye
over long lines of women waiting to vote on election morning and
commented: "Republican women always come out early. The only
thing is that this time there are twice as many Republican
women."
</p>
<p> Murder in the Suburbs. The enormous development of row upon
row of new suburban homes was a postwar phenomenon familiar to
any cross-country airplane passenger. Prewar suburbs were
normally Republican. But the transplanting of hundreds of
thousands of prospering city dwellers-many of them Democrats-
raised the question of which way the suburbs would go. The
Volunteers for Eisenhower were the first to spot the
possibilities of the suburban areas, turned in big Republican
leads from New York's bedroom counties all across the U.S. Even
in deep-Democratic Georgia. Atlanta's three suburban "fingerbowl"
districts gave Ike a 3-1 lead. Said Chicago's Democratic Boss
Jack Arvey (after the Democrats had lost his Cook County): "The
suburbs were murder."
</p>
<p> Some of Ike's legions of first voters were young men whose
adult memories began not in Depression, but during World War II.
Said a young C.I.O. worker, as he tried to explain the election
to C.I.O.-P.A.C. boss Dan Bodell in St. Joseph County, Indiana:
"You stood in bread lines but we stood in chow lines."
</p>
<p> Tapping the Coalition. Ike's new blocs were not of
themselves powerful enough to carry the day. To win, Ike had to
get some of the vote away from the old Roosevelt coalition of
Southerners, labor, farmers and Northern minority groups.
</p>
<p> Farmers, who were frightened into Democratic columns in 1948
by the Administration's grain-storage scare, flopped resoundingly
back to the G.O.P. Example: in 1948 Truman carried seven rich
farm counties in southern Minnesota. This time Ike got them all.
Pocahontas County, in northwestern Iowa, is a cash grain area
which has been Democratic since 1928. Ike got 64%. Indiana's
Hamilton County gave Dewey 63% of its vote in 1948; it gave Ike
73%.
</p>
<p> Many labor precincts polled about as many Democratic votes
as they had in 1938. Autoworking Detroit, by dint of tremendous
C.I.O. effort, did somewhat better. But in the national picture,
because of the overwhelmingly big vote, the Democrat-labor
portion fell of drastically. In one organized factory after
another. Ike buttons blossomed out after union leaders had made a
pitch for Stevenson.
</p>
<p> Republican Omen. Ike cut effectively into the Democrats'
minority strongholds. U.S. Roman Catholics have been voting about
75% Democratic, but this year many were concerned over the airy
manner with which Democratic leaders dealt with evidence of
Communist influence. Pawtucket, R.I., a center of Catholic
population, gave Truman 75% in 1948, gave STevenson only 59%.
Polish Catholics of Chicago's 32nd ward cut the Democratic margin
from 74% to 66%. Chicago's heavily Irish CAtholic 18th ward
(policemen, firemen, small-home owners) went for Ike by 55%, as
compared with its 49% for Dewey in 1948. Probably, a majority of
Catholic voters stayed Democratic, but the percentage was cut
down at least to 60%.
</p>
<p> The Jewish vote kept its big Democratic margin, but the edge
was about 10% narrower than in 1948.
</p>
<p> Of all the minority blocs, only the Negroes stood fast for
the Democrats, in both the North and South. In many states
Stevenson got a higher numerical Negro vote than Truman, but the
total Negro vote did not increase as much as the total state
vote.
</p>
<p> A Popularity Contest. Ike generally ran well ahead of G.O.P.
Congressmen and local office holders. Hence his victory was
clearly more of a personal victory than a party victory.
Complained a Democratic leader in Omaha: "We had the darkest
horse in history, and he was running against a household word."
(A darker horse: Judge Alton B. Parker, Democratic presidential
candidate in 1904, defeated by Theodore Roosevelt by 2,600,000.)
But the election cannot properly be considered as a mere
popularity contest between two men. Stevenson was stuck with the
liabilities and the assets of his party's record.
</p>
<p> Among devoted Stevensonians a myth is growing that Harry
Truman lost the campaign for Stevenson. Actually, it would be
hard to say whether Truman's speeches hurt more than they helped.
Certainly, Truman was right when he called himself the key to the
campaign. The Democrats had to stand on the New Deal-Fair Deal
record, and Stevenson knew this: he vigorously defended the
record and praised Truman's campaigning. Of itself, Stevenson's
own record could never have been made the basis of a campaign
against Eisenhower's.
</p>
<p> The campaign was "logical," as logic goes in politics. It
was happily not fractionalized into a host of little pressure-
group appeals. The shifting industrial workers, housewives and
Midwestern farmers were all moved by the same or similar
arguments. Since this is not a homogeneous country, voting
patterns always have to be examined by groups. Sometimes, such an
examination shows groups moving the same way for different and
even contradictory reasons. That was definitely not the case in
1952.
</p>
<p> Therein lies the basis for a new national unity and a more
vigorous domestic and foreign policy.
</p>
<p>Record Vote
</p>
<p> The 1952 presidential election brought out the biggest vote
in U.S. history, more than 60 million turnout represented more
than 61% of U.S. adults. In 1948, only 52% of those over 21
voted.
</p>
<p> A good deal of credit for the 1952 showing goes to a
spectacular get-out-the-vote drive sparked by American heritage
Foundation, a nonprofit, nonpartisan agency. Beginning last June,
the foundation (chairman: New York Banker Winthrop Aldrich; vice
chairman A.F.L. President William Green) went hammer & tongs to
obtain the cooperation of civic groups, broadcasters, editors,
educators, cartoonists, advertisers.
</p>
<p> Statistical comparisons indicated that the U.S. electorate
still has a lot of ground to recover before it does as well as in
1880, when 78.4% of all potential votes were cast. It is even
further away from the performances of Belgians, who voted 90%
strong in 1950, or Britons who voted 83% in 1951. Laziness or
indifference, however, may not be the most important factor in
the U.S. voting record. Americans are a mobile people; upwards of
30 million changed residence in 1951. Silence most states and
counties have long residence requirements, a lot of shifting
citizens temporarily lose their vote every election. Needed, in
conjunction with the drive for more voters: an updating of U.S.
state election laws to keep pace with peripatetic Americans.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>